7th June 2021 - AUD/USD eyeing break of critical resistance near 0.7750


Good Morning,


Market Headlines

Markets were soothed by disappointing US jobs data which dampened concerns the Fed may taper QE sooner than indicated. The S&P500 closed up 0.9% - near the record high, while bond yields and the USD fell sharply in response. US 2yr treasury yields fell from 0.16% to 0.15%, while the 10yr yield plunged from 1.63% to 1.55%. Australian 3yr government bond yields (futures) traded around 0.21%, while the 10yr yield fell from 1.62% to 1.56%.


Commodities, Brent crude oil futures rose 0.8% to $71.90, copper rose 1.4%, and gold rose 1.1%, while iron ore fell 1.0% to $208.65.


Overnight Currency Ranges

AUD/USD 0.7651 0.7745

EUR/USD 1.2104 1.2186

GBP/USD 1.4082 1.4200

USD/JPY 109.37 110.32

NZD/USD 0.7133 0.7215

USD/CAD 1.2070 1.2133

USD/CNH 6.3853 6.4107

AUD/JPY 84.34 84.84

AUD/NZD 1.0710 1.0758


AUD Thoughts

A quiet day ahead where the main data point is China’s trade balance. The report could confirm China’s robust external demand in May. The Caixin manufacturing PMI, which covers more of the exporters, strengthened in May and notably, export growth of Korea also accelerated. China’s exports should remain resilient and stay as the most important growth driver in the post pandemic recovery in the near term. Imports growth is expected to continue to rise with a lower base of commodity prices.


The AUD/USD benefitted from the broad based USD weakness of Friday and topside resistance is still expected ahead of 0.7815 while support should materialise if we dip back toward 0.7650.


Event Risk Data Today

Australia: May ANZ job ads will be released. While measures of job vacancies have forged ahead in recent months, employment growth has been more subdued.


New Zealand: Queen’s Birthday public holiday.


China: The trade balance will be supported by robust export growth, both in the upcoming May release and throughout the year. The May update on foreign reserves is also due.


Euro Area: June Sentix investor confidence will continue to advance as the economic recovery gathers pace (market f/c: 23.8).


US: Consumer credit should continue to find support in April on strong auto loans (market f/c: $22.5bn).

Recent Posts

See All

Disclaimer

This material is provided by Navigate Global Payments (Navigate) ACN 615 699 888, AFSL 502711.  The material contains general commentary only and does not constitute investment or any other advice.  Certain types of transactions, like futures, options and high yield securities can be risky, and not suitable for all investors.  This information has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs.  Please seek your own independent legal or financial advice before proceeding with any investment decision.  The information is believed to be accurate at the time of compilation and is provided in good faith.  Navigate does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of any information contributed by a third party. The information is subject to change without notice and Navigate is under no obligation to update the information. The information contained in this material are opinions of the author at the time of writing and does not constitute an offer, recommendation to act, a solicitation of an offer, or an inducement to subscribe for, purchase or sell any financial instrument or to enter a legally binding contract.  This information, including any assumptions and conclusions is not intended to be a comprehensive statement of relevant practise or law that is often complex and can change.  Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Any forecasts given in this material are predictive in character.Navigate Global Payments Pty Ltd nor its related parties or officers accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damages suffered through any act or omission taken as a result of reading or interpreting any of the information contained or related to this site.